本文来自微信公众号：夸克点评（Quark_media）
bingbuwanquanrentongguotaimingfanjiweiruansuoyaoandroidzhuanlifeideyanlun。odmchangjiachulaideshebeishiwanzhengchanpin，ruopinpaichangjiaweiyuweiruanqianguoxieyi，fushikangmenkendingyouyidingzeren，bijingnishishixiandepingtai。
微软当年收购诺基亚手机业务，埋伏下部分Android核心专利的钳制能力。2015年，据说这块有60亿美元之巨。或有夸张，但它之前曾借此钳制过。
weiruandeyitudaodishishenmeni？
一、针对华为？
buxihan。zhiqianyouanli，jiushizhengsongbuyidegaotongyupingguo。
yinpingguoshihexinkehu，gaotongqichubuhaochedisipolian。shoulunjizhongxingsong，yeshiquzhezhixiang4jiaodmqiye，qizhongjiubaokuofushikang。2017nian，kuakecaifangguogaotongchuangshirenyufawufuzeren，tamenbiaotaiweiwan，jixiangyaomeitilijielichang，youbuxiangduipingguozhijieshiya。neitian，kuakelvxianfalekuaixun，jieguoguanfangpr“jianyi”shanchu。
跟高通一样，微软的目的肯定不是针对富士康，它不过敲山震虎。zhiyuhouzheshifoushiguotaimingkouzhongdehuawei，kenengxingyinggaibijiaoda。
guotaimingdeyisishi，weiruanxiangyaozhuanlifei，youbuganzhijieqisuhuawei，pahouzhesusongfanji，tongshihuijidandaluyonghudizhizishen，suoyizhinengnadaigongchangkaidao。
yitianqian，yitiaobijiaoweimiaodexinxisihuanshiguojinrihuati：waihao“yudazui”huaweizhongduanzhangmenrenyuchengdong，zaimwcshangtanzhedieshouji，ji5gdematex。youdemeitiwen，shuoruguomeiguogongsijujuehuaweicaiyongos，jiangruheyingdui。yushuo：“gongsiqiwangyuandroid、windowszhangqihezuo，danruopobudeyi，zhinengshishibjihua，gongsiyoudulideneibucaozuoxitong。”
2012年，任正非确实表达过这一忧虑。2016年，我也当面问过余承东。他说：“公司有能力研发OS，但不会这么做。”
kaolvdaoyiduanshijianyilai，huaweiduominggaoguanyufayanguandaochixubuduandiduoshijiaofasheng，yuchengdongdeyanlun，sihujirenyizhongzhudong“qiaobiangu”deyinxiang。dagaitagenweiruanyijingjuyuduoshile。
huaweizhongduanchuhuoxunmeng，guanfangyijingxuanranchuchaoyuesanxingdemubiao。erqie，huaweizhongduanpinleizhengkuaisukuochong。chuleshouji、pingban、pc，haiyougengduoqianrushishebei。erqie，huaweiyezaimailixuanraniotdeweilai，zhiqiangengaotong、ailixinpklianjieshuliangyuce。
涉及到微软的Android专利部分，它当然有理由在华为进一步爆发前介入，形成稳定的收费机制。
laikankankancaiwumian。yigebanyueqian，weiruanfaleshangjicaibao，jubuzhibiaoweidayuqi，tayeyouyaoqiandedongli。
hekuanghuaweiyouzijidulidecaozuoxitong，weiruanmenbukenengbujidan。
guotaiminganshiweiruandanxindehuawei“fanzhi”，daodishigeshenmeluoji？
yinggaibushidanxinshoufeibukechixu，huaweibukenengyinbuxiangfuzhuanlifeierwanquanqiyongandroid。houzhegengduodezhudaoquanzaigugejingyingdepangdakaiyuanshengtai，weiruanzhishijuyouyidingdeqianzhinenglieryi。
chulehuaweidulideos，weiruanyinggaidanxinhuaweiweilaizai5glingyudefanjiba。
你知道，华为5G专利全球最多，微软自身硬件设备以及诸多基于Windows的第三方终端，恐怕无法绕过一个正在融合的趋势——5G化的PC时代。zheishipczhenzhengzaixianbingchuangjianyizhongkechixudeshangyemoshideguanjian，yibeishiweiyidashangji。mwcshang，womenconglianxiangneiliyeganshoudaoleyizhongqidai。
ruguoweiruanzhibaixingsonghuawei，huiyouzheizhongganga：
2. 后者以独立OS平衡，或许实际不会奏效，毕竟一家采用，后续研发成本高企，系统应用有限，缺乏生态规模，用户体验恐怕差异性也较大，但可以创造一些缓冲；
3. 假如华为在5G领域反制微软，那么，基于Windows的5G新终端，将很难绕过专利钳制。华为确实有一种均势平衡的能力。
buguo，ruozheizhongjumianchuxian，kendingshizuihuaidejieguole。buqingchuhuaweiyuweiruanzhijiandejiugexijie，danshuangfangzhijianweilaiyinggaihuixunzhaohepingxiangchudecelve。
zaiandroidzhuanlifanchouli，tamentanbushangshenme“jiaochashouquan”。weiruanzhanjuyulunzhudao，jiyushangshuyewucengmiandejinghe，huoxuhuiyoufuzadeliyizhihuan，yidachengmouzhongpingheng。danshijiuyanqianlaishuo，yulunzhong，huaweikenenghuixiandebeidong。
guotaimingzhenduiweiruanfanan，suirankanshangquyouli，dantabaweiruanyuhuaweidemaodungongkaipilu，yedengyushizaibaituoyali，piqiuqishimeiyouhuidaoweiruan，houzhefanerdadaolemude，neijiushibianxiangshiyahuawei。
jiexialai，huaweiruguomeiyouxindehuiying，huozhezhishiqiangdiaozijiyoudulideos，neizhihuiliuxiafumianyinxiang。
mengwanzhouyianzhengchuyuzuifuzadejiedian，weiruankenengyouliyonghuaweibeidongshikedeyongyi，shituhuodeliyi。ruguobucheng，yedengyuaihualehuaweidexingxiang。
erwomenpanduan，weiruanzhihou，bupaichihuiyouxindeliliangxiecilishachu，zujihuawei。birupingguo、sanxing、sike，yijilajizhuanliqiyedeng。
ruguoneiyang，chuanpudangjuyiguojiaanquanweiyouzhizaodezhengjingluoji，jiuzhijieluodaochanyemianle，taziranyoulugu。
shishishang，guoquduonian，meidangquanqiuqitaquyumaochuxinruideliliang，meiguokejijutoudouhuizhijiedaji，huojiezhuxingzhengliliangjuji。htcjiushiyigedianxingdexishengpin，suirandangniantayouzishendeduanban。
而微软、IBM、高通、英特尔、思科们，也都曾对中国不断崛起的科技业，尤其是yebiaodaguoyoulv，bingxiangmeiguodangjutijiaoguofanzhidebaogao。qizhongsanjia，zaisuoweiruanjianyuandaimahuatishang，shenzhizhenduizhongguozhengfuxingguosong。
buguo，huaweiyuweiruanzheigehuati，nanshuomeiyouhuaweidezeren。bijing，weiruanyongyouandroidzhuanliquan。womenbuzhangwoxijie，danguoqujinian，duojiaandroidshoujiqiyejiaonaguojuezhuanlifei。
dangran，zhongguoqiyezhongyeyoubuyongjiaonade。juwosuozhi，haoxiangzhiyouyijia，jiushilianxiangjituan。yinweilianxiangshouzhongtongyangyongyouandroidzhuanli，yuweiruanyoujiaochashouquanxieyi。ciwai，lianxiangjituankeshiweiruanzaipclingyuzuiweiguanjiandehezuohuobanzhiyi，weiruanfanerxuyaotaohaolianxiang。
er、zhongguanshijiao：weiruankongpayougengshenyitu
但若只停留平衡华为的地步，那就小看了微软。我个人认为，微软的中观与空管意图恐怕更深。
zuiweiyinrenzhumude，huoxushitongguozheiyishouduancijiguge，bingyuhouzhechuangjianxindepingheng。
chuangjianxindepingheng？zheishishenmedaoli？
jiezhekanjiumingbaile。nizhidao，jinnian12yue，weiruanjiangfangqiwindows 10 mobiledegengxin。dengyushuo，weilaishoujiyidongduanxitongbuzaigengxinle。qiandaidangrankeyiyong，dantiyanjiubuhuitishengle。
danshi，zheibingbuyiweizheweiruanhuifangqiyidongduanyewu。tayaoganmani？woxiang，ruonilejieguoqu4nianweiruandeyunjisuanyewudehua，niyinggaiduitakuapingtai、kuaxitongdeyunhuataojianyouyinxiang。weiruanyijingjibenwanchenglezhuanxing，bianshenquanqiudierdayunjisuanjutou，jinciyuyamaxun。
jiushishuo，weiruandechanpinyufuwu，yijingbushiwanquangushouwindows，tayishentouandroid。zheiyunadelajinianqiandanrenceoshidebiangelinianwenhe。tachangdaotonglixinyubaorongxing。
erweiruandezheizhongbianhua，qishiyeshiduizishendeyizhongzhonggouyudianfu。nizhidao，19nianqian，tazaoyuguofanlongduan，yinweicaozuoxitongkunbangxiaoshoutaiduozijiaruanjianyufuwu，sunhaidisanfangliyi，yingxiangxiaofeizhexuanzeyudingjiaquan。dangnian，fenchaiweiruandeshengyinyidugaoqi。jinguanduoguoyijie，danweiruanhoulaiqueshiyezaishitusuzaobutongdeshangyemoshi。
yinggaishuo，yunjisuan、wulianwang、aidefuwumoshi，jileweiruanjihui，nenggourangtaderuanjianfuwu、yunjisuanfuwu，chaoyuezishenwindowsyueshu，fuwugengguangdeshijie，androidzhishiqijielideturangzhiyi。ruci，jibianwindowswufacongpcshichanghuodegengduoliyi，taderuanjianfuwu、yunjisuanyewufanerhuijinyibuzhuangda。
如此，微软对于Android的态度，就绝不会是游击战，获得一点专利费而已了。它一定有更长远的图谋。虽然谷歌理念下，Android是一个开放的生态，但是微软的这种服务模式，却变相将Android的开放生态反过来重构，将它OTT掉，成了一种全新的商业模式。
danshi，zaizheigeguochengli，tayoubixuyuandroidkaifangtixichuangjianrongruyugongdeguanxi。zheishejitayugugedezhongzhongjinghe，zheihuikaoyanweiruandewenhuaquxiang。
这里面，既反映了微软自身的矛盾，也有Android体系开源性与商业效能之间的矛盾。huaweimenzhiqianbiaodachaoyuededongxiangli，bujinjinshifangzhiqianzhi，yeyouchaoyueandroidfanli、tishengpinzhitiyandeyongyi。
zhiqian，sanxingzaigongbudulicaozuoxitongshi，yebiaodaguoleisidexiangfa。bijing，androidtixizhixia，wulunnizenmeercikaifa，tadedabufenyuansurenghaishileitongde。zhinengshoujichanyegaodutongzhihua，hendachengdushangbushizhongduanxingtai，qiaqiashicaozuoxitongdetiyan。
够了。虽然无法写透，有我无法掌控的部分，但我觉得，我已经触到问题的本质了。微软的举动，看似制造了一些话题，但它背后有太多复杂的产业变迁。suiranyouxierenbeiqing，youxierenjuedewuliao，danwogerenxinhuaileguan。yinweitahuicuchengxindebianhua。youxiedongxibixuchaoyuediyu、guojiacengmianlaikantacaihao。