benwenshichuangtouguanchaxiliededi185pian
fenxiangren:nanjixiong3ddayinwang
2019nian6yue,nanjixiongzhuyidao,guoneiliangjia3ddayinlongtouchangshang——hangzhouxianlinsanwei(nirongzi8yi,guzhi32yirenminbi)、xianbolite(nirongzi7yi,guzhi28yirenminbi),shenqingkechuangbanipodouluxuyoulexindejinzhan。
neime,wentilaile,3ddayingongsidaodijiazhijihe?zhidetouzima?nanjixiongxiwang,xiamiandehuizongbijiao,keyirangduzhegengjiashenkerenshihelejie,dongchabenzhi,jiuxiangbafeiteyiyang,zuoge“jiazhitouzizhe”。
jiezhi2019nian6yue6ri,genjuyahucaijinggupiaoshuju、nanjixiongzixun、fengxiantouzijigoudetouzishujudeng,nanjixiongzhidexiabiao
△nanjixiong:quanqiu20jia3ddayinjichangshangshizhi/guzhiduibi
下面是对比分析:
①关于第一。
quanqiuguzhizuigaodechun3ddayinqiye,shiquanqiudejinshu3ddayinlongtouchangshangdeguoeos,qiguzhiyijinggaoda26yimeiyuan,2018niandeyingshouchao4yimeiyuan,jinglirunlvdayu10%。qihexinjishuhechanpinshislsjiguangshaojiegaofenzi3ddayin、slmjinshu3ddayinliangdaleixingdegongyeji3ddayinji。tongshizijiyechenglileyigeeos 3ddayintouzijijin(henanjixiongyouhezuo,xuyaoxunzhaotouzidekelianxinanjixiong),xunzhaoxinjishuhechanpin。shejijinshudayinshebei、fenmocailiao、zhizaoyingyongdege;shejipenshexingnilong3ddayinji、jinshu3ddayinjidehp,denggongyejutou,qixiadezengcaizhizaoyewuyefeichangjuyoujiazhi,dannanyidulijisuanqiguzhihuoshizhi。suoyishangbiaobulieru。nanjixiongzhisuoyibameiguoipglierushangbiao,shiyinweiipgdejiguangqishiquanqiujiguangleigongyeji3ddayinjidehexinlingbujian,shichangzhanyoulvjigao。xiwangzheiyangkeyitixing3ddayinyejierenshi,womendehexinjishuhelingbujian,kenenghaizaibiedegongsishouzhong。meiguoproto labszuoweiyigegongyezhizaofuwushang,jinnianlaidalishiyong3ddayinjilaishixiandingzhihuazhizao,shiquanqiu3ddayinyingyongdedianfan。
②关于新势力。
发明了高速光固化3D打印技术的美国Carbon3d估值已达22亿美元,发明了低成本桌面级金属3D打印的美国Desktop Metal估值15亿美元,把碳纤维/金属等材料实现桌面低成本3D打印的美国Markforged估值超10亿美元,这三家具有创新性技术突破的创业公司,近几年突飞猛进,融资数额不断攀升,产品也逐渐受到市场的认可,甚至有可能对老一套的光固化3D打印技术、金属3D打印技术,带来突破和冲击。桌面级光固化3D打印机领导厂商Formlabs,凭借消费级的SLA 3D打印机,市场应用想象力巨大,估值也跨入了10亿美元行列。③关于老巨头。美国Stratasys在2018年营收6.632亿美元亏损1096万美元,现在市值12.3亿美元;美国3D Systems在2018年营收6.877亿美元亏损4600万美元,现在市值9.9亿美元。相比于2014年的百亿美元市值,两家3D打印老巨头的市值都掉了90%,已经被一批新进入者逐步超越。靠投资、收购其他3D打印公司这种拿来主义的逻辑,现在证明似乎走得不是很顺。技术路线、产品路线、市场路线,都老了吗?④关于金属3D打印厂商。benlaiquanqiuyouhaojigelaiziouzhoudejinshu3ddayinlingdaozhe,zicongdianzishurongrongjinshu3ddayinchangshangruidianarcam heslm jinshu3ddayinjichangshangdeguoconcept laser beigeshougouhou,jiushengxiadeguoslm solutions(jujuelegedeshougou)hedeguoeoslianggedaxingjinshujichangshangle。danslm(2018nianyingshou7500wanouyuan,kuisun1338wanouyuan,6yiouyuanshizhi)xiangbieos(guzhi23yiouyuan)detiliangheguimo,yaoxiaodeduo。desktop metal、markforgeddengxinxingjinshu3ddayingongyidechangshang,pingjiedichengben、gaosudengtedian,keyingyonglingyujinruputonggongyelingyu,shichangxiangxiangkongjianwuxian,guzhiyechaoyuelezhongduolaopaijinshudayinchangshang。gezengcaizhizaoyewubaokuozengcaizhizaoshebeitigongshangconcept laser 、arcamyijicailiaogongyingshangap&cdengchengyuan,ruguoanzhaoqiyingshouzonghelaijisuan,henkenengshiquanqiuzuidade3ddayinchangshang。zhongguoguonei,quanbu3ddayinqiyezhong,jiazhi/guzhizuigaodeyeshijinshu3ddayin,dashijiyihuozheershijiyiyuanrenminbideweishubushao。
⑤关于中国3D打印上市。上交所科创板的开闸,对创新、对先进制造的支持,让中国的3D打印企业看到了上市的希望,要不然,无论是营收规模还是利润,在国内IPO上市都非常困难。杭州先临三维(主营3D扫描仪、3D打印机、3D打印制造服务等;2018年营收4亿人民币,亏损2956万人民币;拟融资8亿,出售25%的股份,估值32亿人民币)、西安铂力特(主营金属3D打印机和金属3D打印制造服务;2018年营收2.9亿人民币,盈利5700万;拟融资7亿,出售25%的股份,估值28亿人民币),申请科创板IPO都有一定的进展。南极熊真心祝愿这两家公司成功进行科创板IPO。但是,话又说回来,科创板的炒股资金要50万的门槛,大量普通投资者被挡在门外,可以在里面炒股的都是机构投资者和高净值人士了。这些合格投资者,相对都会比较理性,不那么容易冲动当韭菜。最后成功在科创板上市的企业,其市值会多高,南极熊不敢说,只好翘首以盼。⑥关于小众领域的生物打印、电路打印、砂型打印。
zhuyingshaxingzhuzao3ddayinjidemeiguoexone(2018nianyingshou6464wanmeiyuan,kuisun1267wanmeiyuan,shizhi1.3yimeiyuan)hedeguovoxeljet(2018nianyingshou2601wanouyuan,kuisun873wanouyuan,shizhi0.4yimeiyuan),wulunshiyingshouhaishishizhi,doubugao。
yuanziyiseliededianlu3ddayinjichangshangnano dimension,shizhi0.2yimeiyuan。2018nianyingshou510wanmeiyuan,kuisungaoda1549wanmeiyuan,shuyudaliangshaoqianzhuangtai。
meiguoorganovoshiquanqiushengwu3ddayindelingdaozhezhiyi,2018nianshouru309wanmeiyuan,kuisungaoda2663wanmeiyuan,yeshuyudaliangshaoqianzhuangtai。renzaorouzaixianrenzaofood.comshangyechanshengleyixieshengwu3ddayinrenzaoroudeyingyong,erqieshichangxuqiuhenwang,mianxiangdazhonghuadeyouhendajihui。
相对于其他3D打印应用方向来说,这三种3D打印方向,目前属于小众阶段,还没有呈现出规模应用,预计这种情况还会保持几年。⑦关于欧美已上市的3D打印公司市值合理性(市销率)。南极熊把3D Systems、SLM、Organovo、Materialise、PRODWAYS、Stratasys、Proto Labs等已经真正上市的3D打印厂商,市值加起来得到总市值,营业收入加起来得到总收入,然后把总市值÷总收入=市销率,发现市销率竟然只有3.5左右!区区3.5的市销率。如果看盈利金额的话,更是70%以上的企业都处于亏损状态。也就是说,如果一个3D打印公司年营收是4亿人民币,那么其对于市值应该是14亿元人民币。当然,这些已经上市的3D打印公司,一般来说都已经比较历史悠久了,市场给出的想象力空间已经不高。但新鲜的例如Carbon3d、Desktop Metal、Markforged等受到大量资本的青睐,即使在营收不高甚至营收为0的情况下,也可以给出非常高的估值。⑧关于中国3D打印公司估值。nanjixionglejiedao,zhongguoyouyidapi3ddayingongsi,guzhichaoyiyuanrenminbiyishangde,liruxinjinghe(jinshu3ddayinfuwu)、hunanhuashugaoke(jinshu/nilong3ddayin)、beijinguniz(gaosuguangguhua3ddayin)、beijingqingfengkeji(gaosuguangguhua3ddayin)、beijingzhonghangmaite(jinshufenmo)、shanghailiantaikeji(gongyejiguangguhua3ddayin)、guangdonghanbangkeji(jinshu3ddayin)、shanghaiyingpu(slsjiguangshaojie3ddayin)、hangzhoujienuofei(shengwu3ddayin)、beijingshangpu(shengwu3ddayin)dengershijijiagongsi;shenzhiyoudezuixinyilunrongziyianzhaoguzhishijiyilaijinxing。ruguoanzhaodi⑦oumeiyishangshide3ddayingongsishixiaolvlaibijiao,zhongguoshichangjichude3ddayinqiyeguzhiyijinghenkeguanle,bijingzhongguoyingyongshichangrongliangda,yijizhongguotouzizhengtixiangduigaoguzhi。sheiyoupaomo?paomochengduyouduoda?3ddayinxingyefazhanfeichangkuai,womennanyiyucedaoxiayibujianghuifashengshenme。tajiuxiangyigeshenmidehezi,weichedidakaizhiqian,niyongyuanbuzhidaolimianyoushenme。