本文来自：脑极体，题图来自：视觉中国
就在9月1日，华为云推出鲲鹏云手机正式公测的活动。这一消息让很多人莫名振奋，有人认为“这是华为找到应对手机困局的一个方法”。
danshixuanxiaozhihou，womenyekandaohenduofanbodeguandianchulai：“yunshoujidejishuhechanpinzaoyiyouzhi，genbenbushiyingduizheicixinpianweijicaitichude”，yeyourenrenwei“yunshoujizhishizhenduiqiyekehu，haiwufayingyongzaixiaofeizhelingyu，gaoduanqilinxinpianduanquezanshiwujie”。
对于“云手机”这一并非新鲜的概念，前者的观点的确太过“乐观”，而后者的观点虽然比较务实，但对于云手机的发展看得并不全面。云手机，在当下确实不能成为解决高端芯片危机的直接方案，但从长远来看，云手机的进化使其可能成为一种摆脱高端芯片依赖的全新的云端融合的消费级解决方案。
kandongyunshoujidedangxiafazhanheweilaikeneng，yexunengyougengduoxindefaxian。
yunshoujide“buyongxinpian”chuanshuo
yunshouji，zheiyigainianduiyuhenduorenlaishuoyijingbingbumosheng，zaiyeneiyezaoyibushiyigexinxiandegainian。zaiyunshoujizhiqian，qishizaoyiyou“yundiannao”degainian，qiyuanlihemoshixiangdangjiejin。
diannaoshangyunkeyizhuisudaoshanggeshiji90niandai，jiaguwentichudenetwork computergainian，danshouzhiyushidaijishuxianzhi，qizuizaodeyuanxingdanshengzaishijinianhou。gugezai2011nianshihou，jiutuichuleyizhongjiao“chromebook”dewangluodiannaobijibenchanpin，nenggouzaixiantigongwanzhengdediannaoyingyongfuwu。zheiyisilujiushiyonghuzhixuyaoyikuanpeizhihendidebijibendiannao，quebaokeyilianwang，bingnengyunxinggugedechromeliulanqijike，ranhouyonghujiukeyilianjiedaoyunduan，huoquxiangwendangbianxiecaozuohecunchudengfuwu。
但是这一“上网本”太过超前。大部分用户仍然需要功能齐全、可以在本地安装专业软件的高性能笔记本，同时Chromebook对于网络要求非常高，一旦网速不好或者脱网，Chromebook基本就与板砖无异。chromebookwangluobijibencongchanpindingweidaoyonghutiyan，keweishifeichangganga。
好在Chromebook所呼唤的“云端计算”的概念，随着云计算时代到来而实现了。现在的云电脑模式，就是通过开放式的云终端和传输协议，把应用软件、硬件资源以按需服务、弹性分配的服务模式提供给用户。用户也就无需单独配置性能昂贵的硬件设备，也无需安装本地应用，只需要一个可以联网的终端，连接显示器、键盘、鼠标等输入输出设备，就能访问和使用一台完整电脑的所有服务。
yundiannaoyuchuantongdiannaoxiangbi，buyongpeizhidandudecpu、neicunheyingpan，zheixieyingjiandouyouyunduandeshujuzhongxinpeizhiwancheng，tongguojizhongbushu、guanliheweihu，juyoujihaodekekuozhanxinghedanxingfenpeiziyuandeyoushi，jiangdilezhengtijisuanchengben，yenenggenghaobaohushujuanquan。
yunshouji，tongyangleisiyuyundiannaomoshi，jiyuyunfuwuqi，xunichuyuanshenganzhuocaozuoxitongheyuanshengshoujiyingyong，yuanbenbixuyongshoujizhongduancainengtigongdejisuannengli，dougaiyouyunduandefuwuqilaitigongsuanli。yejiushi，yunshoujijiushiyizhongyunfuwunengli，renheyigeyunshoujishilishibuyongdandudexinpian，dantamenbenshenhaiyaoyikaoshujuzhongxinfuwuqidexinpianlaitigongjisuande。zheicaishiyunshouji“buyongxinpian”dechuanshuodezhenshimianmu。
congyonghutiyanlaijiang，nikenengbingbuxuyaoyibushitishouji，jiunenglaishiyongshoujishangdeyixieyingyonghegongneng，birutongguoyitaidiannaohuozhepingban，tongguoyunfuwuqiduanzhanghaodengluzhihou，jiukeyifangwennizaiyunfuwuqishangdeshoujiyingyongheshuju。
gengjuweilaigandexingtaijiushi，yexunizhixuyaoyigejijiandepingmuzhongduan，youwangluomokuainenggougaosulianwang，jiukeyilianjieyunshouji，xiangshoutonggaopeizhishoujiyiyangkangaoqingshipin、wangaopinzhiyouxi、cunchudawenjiandenggongneng。
很显然，这种设想现在还做不到，这种能够摆脱高端芯片又能高速连接云端的移动终端还没出现。dangqianshenzhiweilaijinian，wulunshiyingjianchangshangyehao，haishidabufenxiaofeizheyehao，douzaijinkenengdizhuiqiugenggaoxingnengdeshoujizhongduan。
erhuaweizheicituichude“yunshouji”，bingbushimianxiangxiaofeizheyonghu，ershizhuyaomianxiangqiyekehu，zaiyixietedingxingyezhongzhuyaoyongyuzhinengtuoguan、yunshouyou、zhongbohuyu、yidongbangongdengchangjing。
zaigaoqingchuyunshoujidegainianhenenglizhihou，womenjiexialaikanxiayunshoujizaidangqiandeyingyongqingkuang。
云手机的现在时
jinguanyunshoujigainianyezaoyichuxian，dandangshizheiyigainiantaiguochaoqian。yifangmian4gwangluo、yunjisuan、bianyuanjisuandengjishuhaizaizhubuchengshuqi，lingyifangmianzhinengyidongshoujizhongduanhaizaiyanzhemoerdinglvdesudukuaisujinhua，yunshoujibenshenhaimeiyouyinglaishuyuzijidefazhanqi。
suiranzheijinian，yixiezhuanzhuyunshoujidechuangyexinggongsizhengzaijueqi，dachangyedouzaijijibujuyunshouji，danzheigexingyerengranchuzaifazhandezaoqijieduan。2018nianyunshoujishichangguimoda3yiyuan，bi2017nianzengzhang200%。
yuji2020nianyunshoujishichangyouwangdadao6yiyuan。xiangjiaoyubaiyiqianyideyunjisuanshichang，fenequeshihenxiao，danshiduibixianruzengsuxiahuashenzhidaotuidezhinengshoujishichang，zeshizengsumingxian。
目前，云手机主要需求来自于一些行业客户对移动设备的弹性需求，比较典型的有APP或手游的仿真测试，云游戏、应用托管、移动办公等，一些特殊的有微商营销、游戏挂机以及群控刷机等等。
yishouyoudefangzhenceshiweili。zaiyunshoujizhiqian，shouyougongsixiangyaoceshiyikuanyouxi，jiuxuyaozhaolaibutongxinghaodeanzhuoshoujiaigeceshi。erxianzai，shiyongle“yunshouji”fuwu，zheixieceshijiukeyizaiyunduanjinxing，zaipcduanxianshi。zheiyangyouxigongsijijieshenglecaigouyingjianfeiyong，youdafutigaolegongchengshideceshixiaolv。
duiyuhenduoshouyouwanjiadouyouguajilianjidexuqiu。yuanbendeguajidailiandouxuyaoshiyongzhenshoujipeihejiaobenlaiwanchengzheixieshouyouwanjiadexuqiu，xianzai，yunshoujijiukeyihenrongyiwanchengyouxideguaji，erqiejiagebizhenjigengweibianyi，chengweishouyouwanjiadezhuliuxuanze。yunyouxidefazhanzhengshisuizhezheixieyidonghulianwangshiqidegezhongyonghuxuqiuerbeiwajuechulai。
业内公认，云手机的最大应用场景显然是云游戏。suizhexianzaidaxingshouyoudepinzhiyuelaiyuegao，duiyushoujixingnengdepeizhiyaoqiuyejiuyuelaiyuegao，biruweilaijinian，kenengzhuliushoujiyaodadao8hecpu，16gyunxingneicun，512gneicundepeizhi。danduiyudaduoshuxiaofeizhelaishuo，qishishiwulifudanyemeiyoubiyaofudanrucigaodezhuliuqijianjixingdepeizhide。daoshihou，yonghuruguoxiangyaoyongzhongdiduanpeizhideshoujilaiyunxingzheixiedaxingyouxi，yunshoujijiuhuishiyigebucuodexuanze。
genjuxingyedeguancha，yunyouxijiangshiyunshoujizhongdedaozuikuaiyezuidaguimofazhandeyingyongchangjing。zheiyiqushiwulunshicongsuoni、weiruandengquanqiujijiazhujiyouxichangshang，haishicongguge、tengxun、baiduguoneiwaihulianwangjutouzaiyunyouxishangdetouru，doukeyikanchuyunyouxideweilaiqianjing。
dangran，xianzaiyunyouxidefazhanhaimianlinzhehenduokunnanhetiaozhan，nenggouzaiyunyouxishangdazaideyuanshengyouxihaibijiaoshao，jishiyouyeshiyixiezhongxiaoxingshouyou，erdaxingshouyoushouxianyuwangluohefuwuqidenenglihennanmanzuyonghudeyouxitiyan。
zhengtilaishuo，xianzaiyunshoujiyewuyijingkaishiqiangshizengzhang，qiyewufanweiyesuizheyixiexinxuqiuerchuxian，danyunshoujidefazhanhaimianlinzhezhongzhongkaoyan。buguozhideqiangdiaodeshi，rujinzuoweixinshengshiwudeyunshoujizhengzaiyinwei5gwangluo、yunjisuanherengongzhinengjishudechengshueryinglailebaofadekeneng。
云手机的未来时
5gwangluozhenzhengpujihou，jianghuijiyunshoujidailaizenyangdejihuini？zheiyijihuikongpajiushiyunshoujidexiaofeijishichangdechuxian。
womenqishiyekeyiganshoudao，shoujiyingjianzhengzaizaoyuchuangxinpingjing，birushoujiyijingzhuangdaosigeshexiangtou，xiangsuyijinggaodashangyi，juedaduoshupaishegongnengrenmenpingshidouyongbudao。ershoujicpuxinpianzhichengyijingjiejinmoerdinglvjixian，neicunxinpiandengxingjiabizhengzaijiangdi。xiaofeizheyijingyuelaiyuekuyuangguideyingjianjiageheguokuaidegengxinpinci。5gwangluo，jiangyoukenengniuzhuanhuozhejiejuezheiyikunjing。
因为5G网络一旦普及，对于手机的计算能力的要求就会下降。那个时候，手机只要发挥好显示器和信息采集器的作用就好，通过智能摄像头、智能语音来进行信息交互，通过高分辨率屏幕来显示内容，剩下的计算和存储都通过5G网络传输到云端服务器即可完成。
ersuizheyunjisuandechengshuheyingyongdezengduo，renmenyijingyuelaiyuexiguanxiangwangpan、yunkongjianzheiyangdeyunyingyong，bingqieyeyouleyipixiguanfufeishiyongdeyunduanyonghu。yunshoujiyoukenengchengwei5gshidaizuizhongyaodeluodiyingyong，bingqieweilaijiangcongqiyekehuxianggerenyonghuqianyi，yinglaizhishujidezengzhang。
daozheigeshihou，womenjiukeyifanguolaikaolv，yunshoujidefazhan，huoxuhuichengweihuaweizaixinpianlingyupojudeyizhongsilu。yifangmian，zaishitishoujiqueshaogaoduanxinpiandeqingkuangxia，neimejiukeyibagaoduanxinpiandesuanlifangdaoyunsuanfuwuqi，yunduanfuwuqikeyishiyongwoguozizhushengchandedaguimodezhongduanjibiedexinpian，xianyongdiejiadefangshilaijiejuesuanliwenti。lingyifangmian，tongguo5gjishuhewomenguojiawanshande5gwangluojichusheshi，laimanzushoujidegaosulianwangdexuqiu。
尽管现在云手机业务还处在面向企业客户阶段，而gengshiqiangbaochusheng，jidaishengtaijianshe。dancongsanzhedeguanxilaikan，hongmengcaozuoxitongdefazhanjiangkenengtuidongyunshoujidexiaofeizheshichangdebaofa，eryunshoujidefazhanyejiangyouliyuhongmenghexianyouyingyongderonghe。yunshangcaozuoxitongheyunduanyingyongdepuji，zuizhongjiangyoukenengchengweipojuzhongduanxinpianweijideyigejiejuefangan。
往更远了说，云手机不过是对于当前手机业务的一种替代方案。在我们马上迎来的万物智能互联的AIoT时代，云手机的模式将广泛普及开来，在未来物联网和个人可穿戴设备，甚至脑机接口的设备下，终端感应，边端通信，云端计算和存储必将成为一种主流的联接方式，云端操作系统和应用在跨终端、跨设备上的同步体验也将成为我们主流的数字生活方式。
zheicaishiyunshoujizhaoxiangweilaishi，yinggaiyoudemoyang。