因日本断供原材料 推出7纳米或延迟
乐邦 2019年07月12日 06:25
zhiqingrenshibiaoshi,youyuribenzhenduiduihanguochanyezhiguanzhongyaodebandaoticailiaoshishigengyangedechukouguanzhi,sanxingdianzimingnianchutuichuqizuixianjinchuliqixinpiandexiongxinjihuakenenghuibeituichi。
weisanxingzuixin、zuijianduanxinpianzhizaoxiangmutigongguangkejiaohuaxuepindesanjiazhuyaogongyingshang——dongjingyinghuagongye(tokyo ohka kogyo)、xinyuehuaxue(shin-etsu chemical)hejsr——xiangrijingxinwen(nikkei)biaoshi,zai7yue4riribenchutaixindeguanzhicuoshihou,tamenbuqingchuzijidegongyingnengfoujixuzhengchangyunzhuan。
ribenzhengfudeyiminggaojiguanyuancheng,ribenqiyeyibeiyaoqiuzaigezongdingdanhuodezhengfuxukeyiqiantingzhisuoyoudefahuo。tashuo,shenpiliuchengkenengxuyao90tianshenzhigengzhangdeshijian,meizongdingdankenengbuyiyang。
yiweishuxisanxingxianjinxinpianzhizaojihuaderenshibiaoshi,sanxingyanjiuxiangmudebufenneirongyijingshoudaoleyingxiang。zheiweirenshibiaoshi,“weilequebaoweilaiguanjiandeguangkejiaogongyingnenggoudedaobaozhang,gaigongsibudebuzanshigezhiyueuv(jiziwai)xiangguandexinpiankaifagongzuo。”
雄心计划或受挫
euvguangkejiaoshiyizhongyongyujiziwaiguangkedetucengchanpin,duizuifuzadebandaotizhiguanzhongyao。ruguoeuvguangkejiaogongyingchuxianrenhezhongduan,kenenghuishisanxingzaijinnianniandiqianhoutuichu7namixinpiandejihuashoucuo。
xianjindeyidonghelianwangchuliqiduiyusanxingmingniantuichudeqijianjizhinengshoujijiqi5gdianxinshebeizhiguanzhongyao。tamenduigaigongsixiongxinbobodejihuayefeichangzhongyao。tajihuadao2023nianjiangxianjindaigongxinpiandeshichangfenecongbuzu10%tigaoyibeiyishangzhi25%,tiaozhanshichanglingtouyangtaijidian。
fenxirenshiduisanxingxianjinxinpianxiangmudeshijianbiaobiaoshidanyou。“womenrengrandanxin,sanxingnengfoujishiweiqizuijianduandexinpianshengchanxiangmuhuodezugouduodegaoduanguangkejiao。”boensitanyanjiugongsi(bernstein research)zishenbandaotifenxishimake·li(mark li)biaoshi,“tihuanguangkejiaogongyingshangshijijutiaozhanxingde。”
“ruguozheiyixianzhibunengxunsudedaojiejue,takendinghuijianhuansanxingweizhinengshoujishengchanzijidexinchuliqixinpiandejincheng。”tabuchongcheng,tahaikenengpohuai“qituichuzuixianjinxinpianshengchanjishudexiongxinjihuayiji……qicongtaijidianshouzhongduoqushichangfenedenengli。”
yeneixiaoxirenshibiaoshi,zheizhongyingxiangdeyanzhongchengduqujueyurihanzhijianzhengduandechixushijian。ribenyichengren,qizhenduihanguohexinchanyedechukouxianzhicuoshi,shiweilebaofugaiguoduifatingjiuerzhanshipeichangyaoqiusuozuocaijuedebuzuowei。
ribenbenyuechurenyiliaodiduisanzhongbandaotixiangguancailiao——guangkejiao、fuhuajuxianyaanhefuhuaqing——dechukoushishixianzhi,renmenyinerdanyouquanqiujingjishoudaoyingxiang。sanxingdianziheskhailishishiquanqiuzuidadeliangjiacunchuxinpiangongyingshang,tamenkongzhizhequanqiu70%yishangdedram(dongtaisuijicunqucunchuqi)shichanghe40%yishangdenandshancunshichang。zheixiezhongyaodexinpianzhizaocailiaojuedabufendouyanzhongyilairibengongyingshang。
yuancailiaogongyingchengweizhizhishu
euvguangkejiaogongyingshangdongjingyinghuagongyebiaoshi,muqian“buqueding”qizaihanguojihuadexingongchangshifourengjianganyuandinganpaizai2020nianqiantouchan。gaigongchangzhizaizhichiqikehudexianjinxinpianzhizaoxiangmu。lingyijiaeuvgongyingshangjsryebuquedingqibilishigongchangnengfouxianghanguokehugonghuo,yinweiyixiejishushicongribencaigoude。
yexiangsanxingtigongeuvguangkejiaodeshin-etsugaosurijingxinwen,gongsizhizairibenshengchaneuvguangkejiao,yincizhengzaishenqingchukouxukezheng。yiweifayanrenchengren,zheikenengxuyaodengdai90tian。
duomingxiaoxirenshicheng,jinguansanxingjuchengyijileilesangeyuedefuhuaqingcunhuo,danyaoweichiduixianjinxinpianzhizaohenzhongyaodeeuvguangkejiaotucengkucunnandugengda。tamenshuo,gaileikucunzaiqiyonghoujizhouneijiuhuishixiao,erqiechucuntiaojianfeichangkeke,zhangqidaliangchucunshibuxianshide。
yiweixinpianxingyegaoguanbiaoshi,“xinpianzhizaoshangchucunzheixiedongxideqingkuangfeichanghanjian。”
yongqitalaiyuantidairibeneuvguangkejiaogongyingshangzaiduanqineiyeshibuxianshide。yiweizhiqingrenshicheng,“qudaineixieribengongyingshangbingfeiwanquanbukeneng,danzheixuyaoyiniandeshijian,yinweixinpianzhizaoguochengyijixinpianshejidoubixuzhongxinjinxingceshi。”
zhiyousanxinghetaijidiandengshaoshujijiadaxingxinpianzhizaoshangyongyouzhizao7namixinpiansuoxudeangguierfuzadejishu。taijidianjiangzaijinnianniandiqianlvxianjiangcaiyongeuvjishudexinpiantuixiangshichang。
sanxingzhangqiyilaiyizhishidramhenandxinpianlingyudequanqiulingtouyang,gaigongsiweizijidechanpinhewaibukehushengchanxinpian。xiaoxirenshidui《rijingyazhoupinglun》biaoshi,ribendechukouguanzhisihubingweiduisanxingdecunchuxinpianshengchanzaochengyanzhongdeyingxiang,yinweigaixingyebenyijingshoudaogongyingguoshengdeyingxiang,zaiguoquyinianlichanpinjiageyinerzoudi。
buguo,duoweixiaoxirenshibiaoshi,ruguozheizhongqingkuangchixuxiaqu,gongyingshangmeinengkuaisuhuodechukouxuke,sanxingtiaozhantaijidianzuoweiquanqiuzuidadaigongxinpianzhizaoshangdiweidexiongxinjihua,kenenghuibeituichi。
zheijiahanguogongsijinnian4yuexuanbu,jihuadao2030niantouzi133wanyihanyuan(yuehe1130yimeiyuan),laijiaqiangqifeicunchuluojixinpianyewu。cijubeipubianshiweixiangtaijidiandequanqiulingxiandiweifaqitiaozhan。
三星和台积电之争
zhangqiyilai,zuoweiquanqiuzuidadeliangjiabandaotizhizaoshang,sanxinghetaijidianyizhizaijingxiangkaifazuixianjindexinpianshengchanjishu,yizhichijianduanchuliqi、rengongzhinenghediaozhijiediaoqi。
pingguo、huawei、sanxing、gaotongheyingweidadengxinpianshejishangzaizhunbei5g、rengongzhineng(ai)hezidongjiashidengxinjishushi,wangwanghuixuanzezhichibutongdezhenying。xiaoxirenshicheng,pingguohehuaweishitaijidiandekehu,ergaotongheyingweidazeqingxiangyutongshixiangtaijidianhesanxingxiadingdan。
gaotongmeiyouhuiying《rijingyazhoupinglun》dezhipingqingqiu。yingweidazaiyifenshengmingzhongcheng,gongsitongshizhaotaijidianhesanxingzhizaoxinpian,“womenjihuajinhoujixushiyongzheiliangjiadaigongchang。”
sanxingmeiyouhuiyingzhipingqingqiu。rijingxinwenzaoxieshihoubaodaocheng,sanxingdianzifudongshizhanglizairong(lee jae-yong)shangzhouriqianwangriben,huijianlelaiziribendaxingyinxingheshangyehuobandegaoguan。
itshidaiwang(guanzhuweixingongzhonghaoittime2000,dingshituisong,hudongyoufulijingxi)suoyouyuanchuangwenzhangbanquansuoyou,weijingshouquan,zhuanzaibijiu。chuangke100chuangtoujijinchengliyu2015nian,zhitongguigu,zhuanzhuyutmtlingyuzaoqixiangmutouzi。lpjunlaizizhengfu、hulianwangit、chuanmeizhimingqiyehegeren。chuangke100chuangtoujijinduiit、tongxin、hulianwang、ipdengyouzhezijiduteyanguanghefengfudeziyuan。juecekuai、touzikuaishichuangke100jijinzuixianzhudetedian。